Natural Gas Price Prediction for Next Week

Natural Gas Price Prediction for Next Week (13th - 17th October 2025)

Natural gas prices slipped nearly 5% last week as warmer weather forecasts and higher production kept inventories elevated, pressuring prices despite steady export demand.

MCX Natural Gas October contract extended its decline during the week, closing below key technical levels. Prices fell sharply from a weekly high near 315 to settle at 275.6, marking a 12% fall in price. The contract continues to hover below all major moving averages such as 20–50–100–200DEMA placed at 292–299–318–339 respectively forming a strong overhead resistance cluster. This structure reflects a sustained bearish undertone in the short to medium term, with momentum indicators suggesting weakness on rallies.

NYMEX Natural Gas also faced heavy selling pressure, declining around 9% from the weekly high of $3.74 to close at $3.369. The midweek fall below the $3.31 DEMA cluster signaled continued downside momentum, with the next crucial support levels seen at $3.17–$3.01. A failure to reclaim the 20–50 DEMA zone could keep the bearish bias intact for the coming sessions..

Technical indicators support the ongoing bearish trend. Open interest increased by nearly 8,000 lots alongside the price decline, confirming fresh short positions. The RSI slipped to 39.99 from 48.83, indicating weakening momentum and increasing selling pressure. MACD remains in a bearish crossover with negative histograms, while volume surged on down days, showing strong participation from sellers.

Given the current setup, traders are advised to maintain a ‘sell on rise’ approach as long as prices remain below the key 298 resistance band. Immediate support lies at 265, and a decisive breakdown below these levels could open the door for deeper declines. On the upside, only a sustained move above 318 would indicate a potential reversal in trend; otherwise, the broader bias remains sideways to bearish.

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Prediction given by Technical Research Team - Choice