Natural Gas Price Prediction for Next Week

Natural Gas Price Prediction for Next Week (25th - 29th August 2025)

Natural gas prices sank as cooler weather forecasts weighed on demand expectations for air conditioning. Elevated production levels, with output near record highs and rigs holding close to a two-year peak, added to the bearish tone. However, a smaller-than-expected storage build and firm power demand offered some support, tempering the downside pressure.

MCX Natural gas September contract has breakout the support-line of a Rising channel formation in its previous sessions and managed to close at 244.60, declined by ~5%. Price has continued to trade below its all key moving averages i.e. 50, 100 and 200-DEMA levels placed at 283.40, 295.20 and 292 respectively. Earlier, we have observed a Death crossover on Daily chart which is crossover of 200-DEMA over 50-DEMA. Daily SAR has been placed at 259.40 currently. Immediate support would be at 231.30 and breakout of this level will accelerate downside momentum in NG price towards its next support placed at 213.90.

The recent drop in Natural Gas prices is accompanied by a short buildup, as evidenced by a rise in open interest to 31,000 lots. This suggests the downtrend is gaining strength from new sellers entering the market. The bearish sentiment is further confirmed by technical indicators. The RSI is consistently below the 40 level on both the daily and weekly timeframes, while the monthly MACD shows a convergence with fading positive histograms, collectively reinforcing the bearish momentum.

We are expecting Moderately bearish trend in Natural gas price in upcoming week and traders may look for a Sell-on-rise opportunity.

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Prediction given by Technical Research Team - Choice