Crude prices slipped after OPEC+ confirmed modest output hikes and the IEA projected 2025–26 supply growth to outpace demand, though Middle East and Russia-Ukraine tensions limited the downside. The market remains torn between rising supply and persistent geopolitical risk premiums.
WTI Crude oil spot has continued to trade back & forth over the course of the week, closed on a positive note at $62.54 / barrel. Price has continued to remain below 20-DEMA levels placed at $65.07 which will act as a immediate resistance.
MCX Crude oil September contract has continued to trade back & forth during past week, closed on a indecisive note at 5530. Crude oil price has formed Spinning top Weekly candle which signifies indecision among traders in past week. Here, Crude oil price has remained below its key moving averages i.e. 50, 100 and 200-DEMA levels placed at 5640, 5674 and 5784 respectively. Daily SAR is placed at 5786 which will act as a crucial resistance for price momentum. Key support would be at 5403 and breakout of this support will boost downside trend in Crude price.
Looking at OI levels, we can observe a decline in OI levels of Crude oil September contract to 6550 lots in recent price consolidation at bottom. RSI levels are hovering around 45 levels on Daily and Weekly chart.
We are expecting Moderately bearish trend in Crude oil in upcoming sessions and traders may opt for Sell-on-rise opportunity in Crude oil.
Support 2 | Support 1 | CMP | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 |
---|---|---|---|---|
5180 | 5403 | 5530 | 5640 | 5784 |
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Prediction given by Technical Research Team - Choice.